Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.492860 0.576985 0.668957 0.776686 0.899110 1.033599 1.192204
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.364345 0.476318 0.610362 0.781389 0.992404 1.242749 1.560592
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.267479 0.386903 0.542065 0.755506 1.038113 1.395737 1.878160
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.218576 0.345405 0.522236 0.781424 1.145207 1.630254 2.316933
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.180848 0.310015 0.502026 0.799838 1.239712 1.853217 2.758102
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.159247 0.293356 0.504195 0.847496 1.376927 2.143596 3.313277
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.131650 0.260981 0.476118 0.843724 1.435097 2.323114 3.722451
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.108431 0.230940 0.446155 0.831173 1.475611 2.476458 4.101151
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.090576 0.206692 0.421540 0.822804 1.519540 2.635484 4.496500
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.079431 0.192969 0.413063 0.840099 1.605802 2.865431 5.015335
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.069369 0.179281 0.402274 0.851172 1.681187 3.081641 5.524607
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.060193 0.165491 0.388969 0.855343 1.743688 3.279432 6.014661
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.052894 0.154685 0.380557 0.868797 1.825914 3.519564 6.596359
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.045618 0.142283 0.366869 0.870068 1.885573 3.725013 7.133213
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.037294 0.125069 0.339703 0.839957 1.881917 3.817443 7.480280
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.033860 0.120200 0.339868 0.867575 1.993399 4.124801 8.222688
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.030393 0.114355 0.336726 0.887371 2.090488 4.411355 8.943489
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.028916 0.114142 0.347391 0.939322 2.257672 4.839224 9.943186
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.025016 0.105241 0.334478 0.935125 2.306436 5.043902 10.542466
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.021301 0.095812 0.318473 0.921371 2.332988 5.206350 11.070561
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.018300 0.087901 0.305138 0.912206 2.368161 5.386912 11.640961
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.016577 0.084197 0.303103 0.931107 2.467458 5.701473 12.484129
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.014850 0.079927 0.298665 0.943206 2.552009 5.990535 13.291321